Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 Обс.
$53,561 Обс.
May 3, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 Обс.
$53,561 Обс.
May 3, 2026
18°C or below
$2,074 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,031 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,201 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,371 Обс.
No
22°C
$7,589 Обс.
No
23°C
$4,087 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,842 Обс.
No
25°C
$11,900 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$6,406 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,834 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$4,226 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,561Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,561Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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