**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Обс.
$45,390 Обс.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Обс.
$45,390 Обс.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
$475 Обс.
No
16°C
$346 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,947 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,117 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,393 Обс.
No
20°C
$10,212 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$10,064 Обс.
No
22°C
$7,015 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,560 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,836 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$1,425 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,390Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$45,390Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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