**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$131,493 Обс.
$131,493 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$131,493 Обс.
$131,493 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
$4,466 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,223 Обс.
No
23°C
$16,602 Обс.
No
24°C
$13,393 Обс.
No
25°C
$29,156 Обс.
No
26°C
$16,556 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$14,414 Обс.
No
28°C
$10,772 Обс.
No
29°C
$10,199 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,953 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$4,759 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$131,493Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$131,493Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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