Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on July 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 18?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,158 Обс.
$121,158 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,158 Обс.
$121,158 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
$14,149 Обс.
No
25°C
$18,691 Обс.
No
26°C
$10,912 Обс.
No
27°C
$9,883 Обс.
No
28°C
$15,745 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$9,851 Обс.
No
30°C
$7,210 Обс.
No
31°C
$13,826 Обс.
No
32°C
$11,393 Обс.
No
33°C
$6,915 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$2,584 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$121,158Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$121,158Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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