**Current short-range numerical weather prediction models, including those from Environment Canada and major global ensembles, indicate a highest temperature near 25 °C for Toronto on July 19, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly flow and modest surface heating.** This places the market-implied probability peak at 25 °C (36 %) and 24 °C (28.5 %), reflecting tight clustering around typical mid-July climatology of ~26 °C while accounting for model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual smoke or humidity effects. Differentiation among 24–26 °C outcomes stems from subtle variations in forecasted afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak trough passage, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C+ (under 7 %) or cooler readings due to limited support for stronger advection or cloud cover in the latest runs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and official Environment Canada updates for any shifts ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on July 19?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 19?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,763 Обс.
$50,763 Обс.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,763 Обс.
$50,763 Обс.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
$3,696 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,328 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,438 Обс.
No
24°C
$8,797 Обс.
No
25°C
$9,306 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$5,890 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,771 Обс.
No
28°C
$901 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,916 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,320 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$400 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range numerical weather prediction models, including those from Environment Canada and major global ensembles, indicate a highest temperature near 25 °C for Toronto on July 19, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly flow and modest surface heating.** This places the market-implied probability peak at 25 °C (36 %) and 24 °C (28.5 %), reflecting tight clustering around typical mid-July climatology of ~26 °C while accounting for model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual smoke or humidity effects. Differentiation among 24–26 °C outcomes stems from subtle variations in forecasted afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak trough passage, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C+ (under 7 %) or cooler readings due to limited support for stronger advection or cloud cover in the latest runs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and official Environment Canada updates for any shifts ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$50,763Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range numerical weather prediction models, including those from Environment Canada and major global ensembles, indicate a highest temperature near 25 °C for Toronto on July 19, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly flow and modest surface heating.** This places the market-implied probability peak at 25 °C (36 %) and 24 °C (28.5 %), reflecting tight clustering around typical mid-July climatology of ~26 °C while accounting for model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual smoke or humidity effects. Differentiation among 24–26 °C outcomes stems from subtle variations in forecasted afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak trough passage, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C+ (under 7 %) or cooler readings due to limited support for stronger advection or cloud cover in the latest runs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and official Environment Canada updates for any shifts ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50,763Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Current short-range numerical weather prediction models, including those from Environment Canada and major global ensembles, indicate a highest temperature near 25 °C for Toronto on July 19, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly flow and modest surface heating.** This places the market-implied probability peak at 25 °C (36 %) and 24 °C (28.5 %), reflecting tight clustering around typical mid-July climatology of ~26 °C while accounting for model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual smoke or humidity effects. Differentiation among 24–26 °C outcomes stems from subtle variations in forecasted afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak trough passage, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C+ (under 7 %) or cooler readings due to limited support for stronger advection or cloud cover in the latest runs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and official Environment Canada updates for any shifts ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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