Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 14?
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$57,768 Обс.
$57,768 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$57,768 Обс.
$57,768 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
18°C or below
$741 Обс.
No
19°C
$881 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,115 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,462 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,596 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,671 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,130 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,868 Обс.
No
26°C
$5,407 Обс.
No
27°C
$8,669 Обс.
Yes
28°C or higher
$10,229 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,768Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$57,768Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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