Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 27?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Обс.
$112,531 Обс.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Обс.
$112,531 Обс.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 25, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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