Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Обс.
$138,883 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Обс.
$138,883 Обс.
Apr 20, 2026
14°C or below
$1,213 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,418 Обс.
No
16°C
$3,685 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,336 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,950 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,828 Обс.
No
20°C
$13,117 Обс.
No
21°C
$13,677 Обс.
No
22°C
$16,158 Обс.
No
23°C
$52,108 Обс.
Yes
24°C or higher
$28,393 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$138,883Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$138,883Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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