Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 Обс.
$58,410 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 Обс.
$58,410 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5,053 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,587 Обс.
No
21°C
$9,264 Обс.
No
22°C
$11,206 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$8,565 Обс.
No
24°C
$8,037 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,445 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,220 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,775 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,878 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$1,381 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,410Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$58,410Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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