Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 8?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$100,467 Обс.
$100,467 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$100,467 Обс.
$100,467 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
28°C or below
$3,272 Обс.
No
29°C
$3,271 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,748 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,242 Обс.
No
32°C
$5,317 Обс.
No
33°C
$7,777 Обс.
No
34°C
$29,108 Обс.
No
35°C
$10,552 Обс.
Yes
36°C
$15,916 Обс.
No
37°C
$8,419 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$6,845 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$100,467Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$100,467Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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