State Senator Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 53% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary, driven by a recent Rainey Center poll showing him at 23% to State Representative Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters, with State Senator Rick Edmonds trailing at 10%. Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and dominant fundraising with $4 million cash on hand reported this week, enabling heavy ad buys ahead of the May 16 closed primary. Echols holds steady as the main challenger in this two-man race, while residency questions about Miguez from district insiders have failed to dent his momentum, leaving the outcome competitive with four weeks remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-05 Republican Primary Winner
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Blake Miguez 70%
Michael Echols 21.4%
Rick Edmonds 4.8%
Misti Cordell 1.9%
$29,726 Обс.
$29,726 Обс.
May 16, 2026
Blake Miguez
56%
Michael Echols
31%
Rick Edmonds
5%
Misti Cordell
2%
Samuel Wyatt
2%
Michael Mebruer
1%
Austin Magee
1%
Blake Miguez 70%
Michael Echols 21.4%
Rick Edmonds 4.8%
Misti Cordell 1.9%
$29,726 Обс.
$29,726 Обс.
May 16, 2026
Blake Miguez
$15,390 Обс.
56%
Michael Echols
$8,361 Обс.
31%
Rick Edmonds
$76 Обс.
5%
Misti Cordell
$311 Обс.
2%
Samuel Wyatt
$5,173 Обс.
2%
Michael Mebruer
$104 Обс.
1%
Austin Magee
$310 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 53% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary, driven by a recent Rainey Center poll showing him at 23% to State Representative Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters, with State Senator Rick Edmonds trailing at 10%. Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and dominant fundraising with $4 million cash on hand reported this week, enabling heavy ad buys ahead of the May 16 closed primary. Echols holds steady as the main challenger in this two-man race, while residency questions about Miguez from district insiders have failed to dent his momentum, leaving the outcome competitive with four weeks remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,726Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 53% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary, driven by a recent Rainey Center poll showing him at 23% to State Representative Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters, with State Senator Rick Edmonds trailing at 10%. Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and dominant fundraising with $4 million cash on hand reported this week, enabling heavy ad buys ahead of the May 16 closed primary. Echols holds steady as the main challenger in this two-man race, while residency questions about Miguez from district insiders have failed to dent his momentum, leaving the outcome competitive with four weeks remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$29,726Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Senator Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 53% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary, driven by a recent Rainey Center poll showing him at 23% to State Representative Michael Echols' 20% among likely voters, with State Senator Rick Edmonds trailing at 10%. Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's early endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and dominant fundraising with $4 million cash on hand reported this week, enabling heavy ad buys ahead of the May 16 closed primary. Echols holds steady as the main challenger in this two-man race, while residency questions about Miguez from district insiders have failed to dent his momentum, leaving the outcome competitive with four weeks remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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