Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position overnight lows near 16°C for London on August 2, with a daytime maximum around 27°C under mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with above-normal temperatures expected early in the month as high pressure builds across southern England, limiting cloud cover and radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 13–15°C, but current short-range forecasts cluster between 15–18°C, explaining the market’s strong tilt toward 16°C at 51.5% implied probability. Updated model outputs overnight and any shifts in steering flow will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 2?
Lowest temperature in London on August 2?
16°C 52%
15°C 24%
17°C 14%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
24%
16°C
52%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 52%
15°C 24%
17°C 14%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
$194 Обс.
1%
12°C
$228 Обс.
1%
13°C
$131 Обс.
1%
14°C
$134 Обс.
4%
15°C
$188 Обс.
24%
16°C
$2,573 Обс.
52%
17°C
$1,097 Обс.
14%
18°C
$69 Обс.
3%
19°C
$26 Обс.
1%
20°C
$120 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$287 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position overnight lows near 16°C for London on August 2, with a daytime maximum around 27°C under mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with above-normal temperatures expected early in the month as high pressure builds across southern England, limiting cloud cover and radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 13–15°C, but current short-range forecasts cluster between 15–18°C, explaining the market’s strong tilt toward 16°C at 51.5% implied probability. Updated model outputs overnight and any shifts in steering flow will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,045Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position overnight lows near 16°C for London on August 2, with a daytime maximum around 27°C under mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with above-normal temperatures expected early in the month as high pressure builds across southern England, limiting cloud cover and radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 13–15°C, but current short-range forecasts cluster between 15–18°C, explaining the market’s strong tilt toward 16°C at 51.5% implied probability. Updated model outputs overnight and any shifts in steering flow will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,045Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position overnight lows near 16°C for London on August 2, with a daytime maximum around 27°C under mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with above-normal temperatures expected early in the month as high pressure builds across southern England, limiting cloud cover and radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 13–15°C, but current short-range forecasts cluster between 15–18°C, explaining the market’s strong tilt toward 16°C at 51.5% implied probability. Updated model outputs overnight and any shifts in steering flow will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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