Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on July 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 26?
68-69°F 99%
66-67°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$12,220 Обс.
$12,220 Обс.
Jul 26, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
99%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99%
66-67°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$12,220 Обс.
$12,220 Обс.
Jul 26, 2026
57°F or below
$393 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$889 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,209 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,485 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,000 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,230 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$2,811 Обс.
99%
70-71°F
$913 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$611 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$337 Обс.
<1%
76°F or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,220Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,220Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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