Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth across northern France, positioning overnight lows in Paris near 16–18°C for August 1. Seasonal climatology shows typical early-August minima of 14–16°C, yet current guidance from ensembles highlights limited cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. Recent model runs have shown minor downward revisions in daytime highs but stable nighttime values, sustaining trader focus on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C brackets. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris; any Atlantic front arrival could lower readings, though consensus currently favors the warmer end of historical norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 1?
16°C or below 50%
17°C 26%
18°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
50%
17°C
26%
18°C
19%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 50%
17°C 26%
18°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
50%
17°C
26%
18°C
19%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth across northern France, positioning overnight lows in Paris near 16–18°C for August 1. Seasonal climatology shows typical early-August minima of 14–16°C, yet current guidance from ensembles highlights limited cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. Recent model runs have shown minor downward revisions in daytime highs but stable nighttime values, sustaining trader focus on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C brackets. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris; any Atlantic front arrival could lower readings, though consensus currently favors the warmer end of historical norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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