Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Обс.
$21,556 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 Обс.
$21,556 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
$284 Обс.
No
17°C
$432 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,001 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,165 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,039 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$10,596 Обс.
No
22°C
$711 Обс.
No
23°C
$465 Обс.
No
24°C
$349 Обс.
No
25°C
$260 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$254 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,556Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,556Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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