Microsoft’s current market capitalization hovers near $3.65–3.75 trillion amid elevated volatility, with the evenly balanced Polymarket bins reflecting trader uncertainty over the final four-plus months of 2026. Strong Azure and Intelligent Cloud revenue growth, highlighted by a record $450 billion one-day market-cap surge after July earnings, supports momentum toward the $3.5–4.5 trillion range, yet ongoing AI infrastructure spending and capex intensity continue to pressure margins and valuations. Recent share-price swings around the $492–500 level, coupled with analyst price targets near $555, underscore the tug-of-war between expanding AI monetization and execution risks. Broader factors including Treasury yields, sector rotation, and potential regulatory scrutiny add further dispersion to year-end resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
-
$2.50-$3.00T
-
$3.00-$3.50T
-
$3.50-$4.00T
-
$4.00-$4.50T
-
$4.50-$5.00T
-
$5.00T+
-
<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
$0 Обс.
-
$2.50-$3.00T
$0 Обс.
-
$3.00-$3.50T
$0 Обс.
-
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Обс.
-
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 Обс.
-
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 Обс.
-
$5.00T+
$0 Обс.
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization hovers near $3.65–3.75 trillion amid elevated volatility, with the evenly balanced Polymarket bins reflecting trader uncertainty over the final four-plus months of 2026. Strong Azure and Intelligent Cloud revenue growth, highlighted by a record $450 billion one-day market-cap surge after July earnings, supports momentum toward the $3.5–4.5 trillion range, yet ongoing AI infrastructure spending and capex intensity continue to pressure margins and valuations. Recent share-price swings around the $492–500 level, coupled with analyst price targets near $555, underscore the tug-of-war between expanding AI monetization and execution risks. Broader factors including Treasury yields, sector rotation, and potential regulatory scrutiny add further dispersion to year-end resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization hovers near $3.65–3.75 trillion amid elevated volatility, with the evenly balanced Polymarket bins reflecting trader uncertainty over the final four-plus months of 2026. Strong Azure and Intelligent Cloud revenue growth, highlighted by a record $450 billion one-day market-cap surge after July earnings, supports momentum toward the $3.5–4.5 trillion range, yet ongoing AI infrastructure spending and capex intensity continue to pressure margins and valuations. Recent share-price swings around the $492–500 level, coupled with analyst price targets near $555, underscore the tug-of-war between expanding AI monetization and execution risks. Broader factors including Treasury yields, sector rotation, and potential regulatory scrutiny add further dispersion to year-end resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s current market capitalization hovers near $3.65–3.75 trillion amid elevated volatility, with the evenly balanced Polymarket bins reflecting trader uncertainty over the final four-plus months of 2026. Strong Azure and Intelligent Cloud revenue growth, highlighted by a record $450 billion one-day market-cap surge after July earnings, supports momentum toward the $3.5–4.5 trillion range, yet ongoing AI infrastructure spending and capex intensity continue to pressure margins and valuations. Recent share-price swings around the $492–500 level, coupled with analyst price targets near $555, underscore the tug-of-war between expanding AI monetization and execution risks. Broader factors including Treasury yields, sector rotation, and potential regulatory scrutiny add further dispersion to year-end resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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