No perfect game has been thrown in the 2026 MLB season through late July, extending the drought that began after Domingo Germán’s effort in June 2023 and leaving the historical total at 24. Modern factors such as strict pitch counts, specialized bullpen usage, defensive shifts, and analytic-driven lineups reduce the odds of 27 consecutive outs without baserunners. Roughly two months remain in the regular season, during which only a small group of elite starters typically generate the necessary command and support. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% probability for “No” aligns with this extended scarcity and the structural barriers that have produced just a handful of perfect games across recent decades.