Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 above $420, reflecting ironclad consensus driven by a historic four-day rally that propelled the stock from $384 on April 13 to $422.79 by April 17 close. This surge stemmed from CEO Satya Nadella's AI strategy update, OpenAI's major Codex enhancement boosting Microsoft's cloud ecosystem, and bullish analyst reiterations projecting 21% fiscal 2026 earnings growth to $16.50 per share amid accelerating Azure revenue. Broader tech sector momentum and dip-buying after early-2026 weakness further entrenched gains, with shares now testing key resistance levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden macroeconomic shock or pre-earnings (April 29) profit-taking, though proximity to resolution minimizes downside risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено>$420 100.0%
<$330 <1%
$330-$340 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$6,706 Обс.
$6,706 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
<$330
No
$330-$340
No
$340-$350
No
$350-$360
No
$360-$370
No
$370-$380
No
$380-$390
No
$390-$400
No
$400-$410
No
$410-$420
No
>$420
Yes
>$420 100.0%
<$330 <1%
$330-$340 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$6,706 Обс.
$6,706 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
<$330
$253 Обс.
No
$330-$340
$314 Обс.
No
$340-$350
$228 Обс.
No
$350-$360
$238 Обс.
No
$360-$370
$690 Обс.
No
$370-$380
$755 Обс.
No
$380-$390
$350 Обс.
No
$390-$400
$1,416 Обс.
No
$400-$410
$1,375 Обс.
No
$410-$420
$716 Обс.
No
>$420
$371 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 above $420, reflecting ironclad consensus driven by a historic four-day rally that propelled the stock from $384 on April 13 to $422.79 by April 17 close. This surge stemmed from CEO Satya Nadella's AI strategy update, OpenAI's major Codex enhancement boosting Microsoft's cloud ecosystem, and bullish analyst reiterations projecting 21% fiscal 2026 earnings growth to $16.50 per share amid accelerating Azure revenue. Broader tech sector momentum and dip-buying after early-2026 weakness further entrenched gains, with shares now testing key resistance levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden macroeconomic shock or pre-earnings (April 29) profit-taking, though proximity to resolution minimizes downside risk.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Ринок відкрито: Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,706Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 above $420, reflecting ironclad consensus driven by a historic four-day rally that propelled the stock from $384 on April 13 to $422.79 by April 17 close. This surge stemmed from CEO Satya Nadella's AI strategy update, OpenAI's major Codex enhancement boosting Microsoft's cloud ecosystem, and bullish analyst reiterations projecting 21% fiscal 2026 earnings growth to $16.50 per share amid accelerating Azure revenue. Broader tech sector momentum and dip-buying after early-2026 weakness further entrenched gains, with shares now testing key resistance levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden macroeconomic shock or pre-earnings (April 29) profit-taking, though proximity to resolution minimizes downside risk.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$6,706Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 above $420, reflecting ironclad consensus driven by a historic four-day rally that propelled the stock from $384 on April 13 to $422.79 by April 17 close. This surge stemmed from CEO Satya Nadella's AI strategy update, OpenAI's major Codex enhancement boosting Microsoft's cloud ecosystem, and bullish analyst reiterations projecting 21% fiscal 2026 earnings growth to $16.50 per share amid accelerating Azure revenue. Broader tech sector momentum and dip-buying after early-2026 weakness further entrenched gains, with shares now testing key resistance levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden macroeconomic shock or pre-earnings (April 29) profit-taking, though proximity to resolution minimizes downside risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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