Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 23 38%
June 16 37%
June 12 37%
June 19 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
33%
June 13
11%
June 23
38%
June 24
32%
On or prior to June 2
33%
June 8
34%
June 10
35%
June 20
31%
June 3
26%
June 4
22%
June 5
35%
June 6
18%
June 15
47%
June 21
34%
June 25
31%
June 7
16%
June 9
34%
June 11
26%
June 12
37%
June 14
28%
June 16
37%
June 17
30%
June 18
33%
June 19
36%
June 30
32%
June 22
32%
June 27
33%
June 28
3%
June 29
32%
No release by June 30
11%
June 23 38%
June 16 37%
June 12 37%
June 19 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
$52 Обс.
33%
June 13
$100 Обс.
11%
June 23
$52 Обс.
38%
June 24
$50 Обс.
32%
On or prior to June 2
$50 Обс.
33%
June 8
$52 Обс.
34%
June 10
$52 Обс.
35%
June 20
$86 Обс.
31%
June 3
$50 Обс.
26%
June 4
$52 Обс.
22%
June 5
$89 Обс.
35%
June 6
$94 Обс.
18%
June 15
$50 Обс.
47%
June 21
$52 Обс.
34%
June 25
$52 Обс.
31%
June 7
$102 Обс.
16%
June 9
$52 Обс.
34%
June 11
$52 Обс.
26%
June 12
$52 Обс.
37%
June 14
$107 Обс.
28%
June 16
$52 Обс.
37%
June 17
$52 Обс.
30%
June 18
$52 Обс.
33%
June 19
$52 Обс.
36%
June 30
$52 Обс.
32%
June 22
$52 Обс.
32%
June 27
$52 Обс.
33%
June 28
$90 Обс.
3%
June 29
$52 Обс.
32%
No release by June 30
$72 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,882Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,882Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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