Google’s long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model, first teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains the main driver of trader sentiment on the next Pro release. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance prompted repeated slips past July and August targets, with the model still limited to partner testing and described only as arriving “as soon as it’s ready.” In the interim, Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.5, 3.6, and 3.7) optimized for speed and cost, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 successor. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus Google’s shift toward monthly model cadence, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro ships before year-end or if the company effectively skips ahead.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
$1,195,448 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 15
6%
September 30
16%
October 31
66%
$1,195,448 Обс.
August 31
$346,394 Обс.
<1%
September 15
$7,769 Обс.
6%
September 30
$26,795 Обс.
16%
October 31
$5,598 Обс.
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model, first teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains the main driver of trader sentiment on the next Pro release. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance prompted repeated slips past July and August targets, with the model still limited to partner testing and described only as arriving “as soon as it’s ready.” In the interim, Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.5, 3.6, and 3.7) optimized for speed and cost, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 successor. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus Google’s shift toward monthly model cadence, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro ships before year-end or if the company effectively skips ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,195,448Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model, first teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains the main driver of trader sentiment on the next Pro release. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance prompted repeated slips past July and August targets, with the model still limited to partner testing and described only as arriving “as soon as it’s ready.” In the interim, Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.5, 3.6, and 3.7) optimized for speed and cost, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 successor. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus Google’s shift toward monthly model cadence, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro ships before year-end or if the company effectively skips ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,195,448Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Google’s long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model, first teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains the main driver of trader sentiment on the next Pro release. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance prompted repeated slips past July and August targets, with the model still limited to partner testing and described only as arriving “as soon as it’s ready.” In the interim, Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.5, 3.6, and 3.7) optimized for speed and cost, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 successor. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus Google’s shift toward monthly model cadence, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro ships before year-end or if the company effectively skips ahead.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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