Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just two months after Opus 4.8, emphasizing stronger self-verification, agentic workflows, and reduced safeguards compared with Fable 5. Subsequent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing enterprise features like smart reports, signal continued momentum in coding and knowledge-work capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a high likelihood of another Opus update before month-end, consistent with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent frontier-model refreshes amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer events or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next flagship iteration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$105,378 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
78%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$105,378 Обс.
September 30
$45,451 Обс.
78%
October 31
$13,267 Обс.
99%
December 31
$5,146 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just two months after Opus 4.8, emphasizing stronger self-verification, agentic workflows, and reduced safeguards compared with Fable 5. Subsequent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing enterprise features like smart reports, signal continued momentum in coding and knowledge-work capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a high likelihood of another Opus update before month-end, consistent with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent frontier-model refreshes amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer events or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next flagship iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$105,378Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just two months after Opus 4.8, emphasizing stronger self-verification, agentic workflows, and reduced safeguards compared with Fable 5. Subsequent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing enterprise features like smart reports, signal continued momentum in coding and knowledge-work capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a high likelihood of another Opus update before month-end, consistent with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent frontier-model refreshes amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer events or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next flagship iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$105,378Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 family drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just two months after Opus 4.8, emphasizing stronger self-verification, agentic workflows, and reduced safeguards compared with Fable 5. Subsequent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus ongoing enterprise features like smart reports, signal continued momentum in coding and knowledge-work capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a high likelihood of another Opus update before month-end, consistent with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent frontier-model refreshes amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer events or API changes that could accelerate or delay the next flagship iteration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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