Anthropic's release cadence for its Claude family of large language models, with Haiku versions typically following Sonnet and Opus updates to deliver faster, lower-cost inference, is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds favoring a late-October 2026 launch. The last Haiku, version 4.5, arrived in October 2025 and remains the active model alongside the newer Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 releases from mid-2026. Traders appear to be pricing in a refresh to maintain competitive positioning in speed and efficiency benchmarks against rivals, though no official announcements, system cards, or credible leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences, API deprecation notices, or enterprise feature updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
НОВЕ
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
48%
October 31
63%
December 31
68%
$9,949 Обс.
October 15
$241 Обс.
48%
October 31
$1,020 Обс.
63%
December 31
$4,936 Обс.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for its Claude family of large language models, with Haiku versions typically following Sonnet and Opus updates to deliver faster, lower-cost inference, is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds favoring a late-October 2026 launch. The last Haiku, version 4.5, arrived in October 2025 and remains the active model alongside the newer Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 releases from mid-2026. Traders appear to be pricing in a refresh to maintain competitive positioning in speed and efficiency benchmarks against rivals, though no official announcements, system cards, or credible leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences, API deprecation notices, or enterprise feature updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,949Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for its Claude family of large language models, with Haiku versions typically following Sonnet and Opus updates to deliver faster, lower-cost inference, is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds favoring a late-October 2026 launch. The last Haiku, version 4.5, arrived in October 2025 and remains the active model alongside the newer Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 releases from mid-2026. Traders appear to be pricing in a refresh to maintain competitive positioning in speed and efficiency benchmarks against rivals, though no official announcements, system cards, or credible leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences, API deprecation notices, or enterprise feature updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,949Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release cadence for its Claude family of large language models, with Haiku versions typically following Sonnet and Opus updates to deliver faster, lower-cost inference, is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds favoring a late-October 2026 launch. The last Haiku, version 4.5, arrived in October 2025 and remains the active model alongside the newer Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 releases from mid-2026. Traders appear to be pricing in a refresh to maintain competitive positioning in speed and efficiency benchmarks against rivals, though no official announcements, system cards, or credible leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences, API deprecation notices, or enterprise feature updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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