Trader consensus on OpenAI’s IPO closing market cap is anchored by the company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and its June confidential SEC filing targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut. These developments, alongside $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate amid ongoing losses and intense AI-sector competition, underpin the 40.6% implied probability for a 1.5T+ outcome. Market-implied odds also price in strong enterprise adoption and potential multiple expansion typical of high-growth tech listings, though execution risk around profitability and regulatory scrutiny could shift probabilities toward the 1T–1.25T range (20.6%) if the IPO is delayed beyond 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.5T+ 40.8%
1T–1.25T 20.6%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.8%
$114,058 Обс.
$114,058 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 40.8%
1T–1.25T 20.6%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.8%
$114,058 Обс.
$114,058 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
$8,557 Обс.
<1%
500–750B
$10,396 Обс.
1%
750B–1T
$11,919 Обс.
9%
1T–1.25T
$17,239 Обс.
21%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,878 Обс.
20%
1.5T+
$30,209 Обс.
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$24,861 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on OpenAI’s IPO closing market cap is anchored by the company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and its June confidential SEC filing targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut. These developments, alongside $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate amid ongoing losses and intense AI-sector competition, underpin the 40.6% implied probability for a 1.5T+ outcome. Market-implied odds also price in strong enterprise adoption and potential multiple expansion typical of high-growth tech listings, though execution risk around profitability and regulatory scrutiny could shift probabilities toward the 1T–1.25T range (20.6%) if the IPO is delayed beyond 2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$114,058Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on OpenAI’s IPO closing market cap is anchored by the company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and its June confidential SEC filing targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut. These developments, alongside $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate amid ongoing losses and intense AI-sector competition, underpin the 40.6% implied probability for a 1.5T+ outcome. Market-implied odds also price in strong enterprise adoption and potential multiple expansion typical of high-growth tech listings, though execution risk around profitability and regulatory scrutiny could shift probabilities toward the 1T–1.25T range (20.6%) if the IPO is delayed beyond 2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$114,058Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on OpenAI’s IPO closing market cap is anchored by the company’s March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and its June confidential SEC filing targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut. These developments, alongside $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate amid ongoing losses and intense AI-sector competition, underpin the 40.6% implied probability for a 1.5T+ outcome. Market-implied odds also price in strong enterprise adoption and potential multiple expansion typical of high-growth tech listings, though execution risk around profitability and regulatory scrutiny could shift probabilities toward the 1T–1.25T range (20.6%) if the IPO is delayed beyond 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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