SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, implying an initial valuation near $1.77 trillion, underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—with Starlink contributing $11.4 billion and strong operating income—alongside robust retail demand exceeding $70 billion in orders and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with sector multiples for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets amid expanding Starlink subscribers and launch cadence. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation, broader equity market volatility pressuring final demand, or revisions to addressable-market projections exceeding $28 trillion if AI or mobile initiatives underperform.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhat will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T 97.6%
2.00-2.25T 4.8%
1.50-1.75T 4.3%
2.25-2.50T <1%
$236,510 Обс.
$236,510 Обс.
<1.25T
<1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1.50-1.75T
4%
1.75-2.00T
92%
2.00-2.25T
5%
2.25-2.50T
1%
2.50T+
<1%
1.75-2.00T 97.6%
2.00-2.25T 4.8%
1.50-1.75T 4.3%
2.25-2.50T <1%
$236,510 Обс.
$236,510 Обс.
<1.25T
$70,359 Обс.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$23,306 Обс.
<1%
1.50-1.75T
$21,322 Обс.
4%
1.75-2.00T
$48,931 Обс.
92%
2.00-2.25T
$26,616 Обс.
5%
2.25-2.50T
$19,169 Обс.
1%
2.50T+
$26,808 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, implying an initial valuation near $1.77 trillion, underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—with Starlink contributing $11.4 billion and strong operating income—alongside robust retail demand exceeding $70 billion in orders and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with sector multiples for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets amid expanding Starlink subscribers and launch cadence. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation, broader equity market volatility pressuring final demand, or revisions to addressable-market projections exceeding $28 trillion if AI or mobile initiatives underperform.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$236,510Ринок відкрито
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, implying an initial valuation near $1.77 trillion, underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—with Starlink contributing $11.4 billion and strong operating income—alongside robust retail demand exceeding $70 billion in orders and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with sector multiples for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets amid expanding Starlink subscribers and launch cadence. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation, broader equity market volatility pressuring final demand, or revisions to addressable-market projections exceeding $28 trillion if AI or mobile initiatives underperform.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$236,510Ринок відкрито
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, implying an initial valuation near $1.77 trillion, underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion—with Starlink contributing $11.4 billion and strong operating income—alongside robust retail demand exceeding $70 billion in orders and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with sector multiples for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets amid expanding Starlink subscribers and launch cadence. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation, broader equity market volatility pressuring final demand, or revisions to addressable-market projections exceeding $28 trillion if AI or mobile initiatives underperform.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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