xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released in early May 2026 as the current fastest and most capable version available via API and apps, featuring a 1-million-token context window and strong performance in tool calling and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that a 1.5-trillion-parameter model (previously aligned with Grok 4.5 plans) has completed training and is undergoing supplemental work, with release expected in three to four weeks. Earlier May roadmaps targeted a 1-trillion-parameter Grok 4.4 in mid-May, but recent updates indicate delays and potential resequencing toward the larger variant amid ongoing training of multiple models on expanded Colossus infrastructure. This positions the next major upgrade as a key competitive step against leading AI labs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGrok 4.4 released by...?
Grok 4.4 released by...?
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
20%
June 15
28%
June 30
78%
$60 Обс.
May 31
$20 Обс.
20%
June 15
$0 Обс.
28%
June 30
$40 Обс.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released in early May 2026 as the current fastest and most capable version available via API and apps, featuring a 1-million-token context window and strong performance in tool calling and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that a 1.5-trillion-parameter model (previously aligned with Grok 4.5 plans) has completed training and is undergoing supplemental work, with release expected in three to four weeks. Earlier May roadmaps targeted a 1-trillion-parameter Grok 4.4 in mid-May, but recent updates indicate delays and potential resequencing toward the larger variant amid ongoing training of multiple models on expanded Colossus infrastructure. This positions the next major upgrade as a key competitive step against leading AI labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released in early May 2026 as the current fastest and most capable version available via API and apps, featuring a 1-million-token context window and strong performance in tool calling and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that a 1.5-trillion-parameter model (previously aligned with Grok 4.5 plans) has completed training and is undergoing supplemental work, with release expected in three to four weeks. Earlier May roadmaps targeted a 1-trillion-parameter Grok 4.4 in mid-May, but recent updates indicate delays and potential resequencing toward the larger variant amid ongoing training of multiple models on expanded Colossus infrastructure. This positions the next major upgrade as a key competitive step against leading AI labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released in early May 2026 as the current fastest and most capable version available via API and apps, featuring a 1-million-token context window and strong performance in tool calling and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that a 1.5-trillion-parameter model (previously aligned with Grok 4.5 plans) has completed training and is undergoing supplemental work, with release expected in three to four weeks. Earlier May roadmaps targeted a 1-trillion-parameter Grok 4.4 in mid-May, but recent updates indicate delays and potential resequencing toward the larger variant amid ongoing training of multiple models on expanded Colossus infrastructure. This positions the next major upgrade as a key competitive step against leading AI labs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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