SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC S-1 filing and reports of pricing as early as June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the 98.8% market-implied probability for a June listing. This reflects broad trader consensus on the deal's advanced preparation, with the company targeting a record $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand. The near-certain positioning aligns with the rapid SEC review and roadshow momentum, though realistic risks such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility could still delay execution before quarter-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune 98.8%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$468,693 Обс.
$468,693 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
1%
June 98.8%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$468,693 Обс.
$468,693 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
June
$141,110 Обс.
99%
July
$27,858 Обс.
<1%
August
$18,369 Обс.
<1%
September
$19,268 Обс.
<1%
October
$17,283 Обс.
<1%
November
$16,223 Обс.
<1%
December
$10,589 Обс.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$26,252 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC S-1 filing and reports of pricing as early as June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the 98.8% market-implied probability for a June listing. This reflects broad trader consensus on the deal's advanced preparation, with the company targeting a record $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand. The near-certain positioning aligns with the rapid SEC review and roadshow momentum, though realistic risks such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility could still delay execution before quarter-end.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$468,693Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC S-1 filing and reports of pricing as early as June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the 98.8% market-implied probability for a June listing. This reflects broad trader consensus on the deal's advanced preparation, with the company targeting a record $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand. The near-certain positioning aligns with the rapid SEC review and roadshow momentum, though realistic risks such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility could still delay execution before quarter-end.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Обсяг
$468,693Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC S-1 filing and reports of pricing as early as June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the 98.8% market-implied probability for a June listing. This reflects broad trader consensus on the deal's advanced preparation, with the company targeting a record $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand. The near-certain positioning aligns with the rapid SEC review and roadshow momentum, though realistic risks such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility could still delay execution before quarter-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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