SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, capped by the June 3 announcement of a $135 per-share price targeting a record $75 billion raise and a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.3% implied probability for a June listing. The company’s May 20 public S-1 filing, followed by an early-June roadshow launch after a swift SEC review, has aligned all regulatory and marketing milestones within the current month. Trader consensus reflects this compressed schedule and the absence of material hurdles, pricing in near-certainty that the offering will clear before month-end. Only an unforeseen last-minute regulatory snag or abrupt market dislocation could realistically shift the outcome, though both appear remote with pricing set for June 11.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune 99.3%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,135 Обс.
$478,135 Обс.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.3%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,135 Обс.
$478,135 Обс.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, capped by the June 3 announcement of a $135 per-share price targeting a record $75 billion raise and a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.3% implied probability for a June listing. The company’s May 20 public S-1 filing, followed by an early-June roadshow launch after a swift SEC review, has aligned all regulatory and marketing milestones within the current month. Trader consensus reflects this compressed schedule and the absence of material hurdles, pricing in near-certainty that the offering will clear before month-end. Only an unforeseen last-minute regulatory snag or abrupt market dislocation could realistically shift the outcome, though both appear remote with pricing set for June 11.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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