SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, including a confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 release in May, and confirmed pricing on June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a June debut. The offering targets $135 per share for 555.6 million shares to raise approximately $75 billion, implying a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and positioning it as the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional roadshow momentum have reinforced trader consensus around this near-term resolution. While last-minute market volatility or unforeseen procedural hurdles could theoretically intervene, the proximity to pricing and allocation leaves minimal scope for meaningful shifts in implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune 99.6%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$469,160 Обс.
$469,160 Обс.
June
100%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.6%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$469,160 Обс.
$469,160 Обс.
June
100%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, including a confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 release in May, and confirmed pricing on June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a June debut. The offering targets $135 per share for 555.6 million shares to raise approximately $75 billion, implying a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and positioning it as the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional roadshow momentum have reinforced trader consensus around this near-term resolution. While last-minute market volatility or unforeseen procedural hurdles could theoretically intervene, the proximity to pricing and allocation leaves minimal scope for meaningful shifts in implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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