Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune 70%
July 16.7%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,674 Обс.
$252,674 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
June 70%
July 16.7%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,674 Обс.
$252,674 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
April
$33,517 Обс.
<1%
May
$22,011 Обс.
1%
June
$100,246 Обс.
70%
July
$10,159 Обс.
17%
August
$4,267 Обс.
5%
September
$5,770 Обс.
3%
October
$6,847 Обс.
1%
November
$4,417 Обс.
1%
December
$3,955 Обс.
1%
No IPO before 2027
$8,405 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$252,674Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Обсяг
$252,674Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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