**Databricks’ market-implied 96.5% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and shifting analyst timelines.** The data and AI platform company raised $4 billion in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation and added $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting he “wouldn’t rule out” a 2026 listing. However, no confidential filing has occurred as of April 2026, and credible forecasts now point to an S-1 in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut in late 2026 or early 2027. This extended runway stems from the company’s strong private-market position, 65% YoY revenue growth to a $5.4 billion run rate, and focus on optimizing capital structure ahead of public scrutiny. A last-minute confidential filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically compress the timeline, though the current preparation pace and regulatory requirements make that outcome improbable before the June cutoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDatabricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Databricks IPO Закриття ринкової капіталізації
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 96.5%
200–250 млрд 1.6%
100–125 млрд 1.0%
125–150 млрд <1%
$416,206 Обс.
$416,206 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
<1%
100–125 млрд
1%
125–150 млрд
1%
150–175 млрд
1%
175–200 млрд
<1%
200–250 млрд
2%
250 млрд+
<1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
97%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року 96.5%
200–250 млрд 1.6%
100–125 млрд 1.0%
125–150 млрд <1%
$416,206 Обс.
$416,206 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 млрд
$34,206 Обс.
<1%
100–125 млрд
$62,815 Обс.
1%
125–150 млрд
$27,401 Обс.
1%
150–175 млрд
$61,481 Обс.
1%
175–200 млрд
$58,719 Обс.
<1%
200–250 млрд
$22,230 Обс.
2%
250 млрд+
$127,853 Обс.
<1%
Жодного IPO до 30 червня 2026 року
$21,504 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks’ market-implied 96.5% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and shifting analyst timelines.** The data and AI platform company raised $4 billion in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation and added $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting he “wouldn’t rule out” a 2026 listing. However, no confidential filing has occurred as of April 2026, and credible forecasts now point to an S-1 in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut in late 2026 or early 2027. This extended runway stems from the company’s strong private-market position, 65% YoY revenue growth to a $5.4 billion run rate, and focus on optimizing capital structure ahead of public scrutiny. A last-minute confidential filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically compress the timeline, though the current preparation pace and regulatory requirements make that outcome improbable before the June cutoff.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$416,206Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks’ market-implied 96.5% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and shifting analyst timelines.** The data and AI platform company raised $4 billion in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation and added $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting he “wouldn’t rule out” a 2026 listing. However, no confidential filing has occurred as of April 2026, and credible forecasts now point to an S-1 in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut in late 2026 or early 2027. This extended runway stems from the company’s strong private-market position, 65% YoY revenue growth to a $5.4 billion run rate, and focus on optimizing capital structure ahead of public scrutiny. A last-minute confidential filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically compress the timeline, though the current preparation pace and regulatory requirements make that outcome improbable before the June cutoff.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$416,206Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Databricks’ market-implied 96.5% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and shifting analyst timelines.** The data and AI platform company raised $4 billion in late 2025 at a $134 billion valuation and added $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting he “wouldn’t rule out” a 2026 listing. However, no confidential filing has occurred as of April 2026, and credible forecasts now point to an S-1 in Q3 2026 followed by a potential Nasdaq debut in late 2026 or early 2027. This extended runway stems from the company’s strong private-market position, 65% YoY revenue growth to a $5.4 billion run rate, and focus on optimizing capital structure ahead of public scrutiny. A last-minute confidential filing and accelerated roadshow could theoretically compress the timeline, though the current preparation pace and regulatory requirements make that outcome improbable before the June cutoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання