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Технологія·Big Tech

Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація

Market icon
Технологія·Big Tech

Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року 65%

1,25–1,5 трлн 6.9%

1,5 трлн+ 6.7%

750 млрд – 1 трлн 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,711 Обс.

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року 65%

1,25–1,5 трлн 6.9%

1,5 трлн+ 6.7%

750 млрд – 1 трлн 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,711 Обс.

<500 млрд

$259,843 Обс.

5%

500–750 млрд

$141,639 Обс.

4%

750 млрд – 1 трлн

$135,259 Обс.

6%

1–1,25 трлн

$175,516 Обс.

4%

1,25–1,5 трлн

$489,832 Обс.

7%

1,5 трлн+

$94,923 Обс.

7%

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року

$284,699 Обс.

65%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by recent internal turmoil including a high-profile rift between CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar, who flagged the aggressive timeline as unfeasible amid organizational gaps and projected $121 billion compute spending through 2028 with profitability delayed until 2029. Compounding this, April 17 departures of key executives—Sora founder, AI for Science VP, and enterprise CTO—signaled project cancellations like Sora and Prism to prioritize revenue-generating enterprise tools such as GPT-Rosalind, while shareholders mull Altman's replacement over side-project influences. Despite a fresh $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, regulatory scrutiny and leadership instability temper optimism for trillion-dollar cap outcomes, with upcoming catalysts including further hires and SEC preparations.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,581,711
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by recent internal turmoil including a high-profile rift between CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar, who flagged the aggressive timeline as unfeasible amid organizational gaps and projected $121 billion compute spending through 2028 with profitability delayed until 2029. Compounding this, April 17 departures of key executives—Sora founder, AI for Science VP, and enterprise CTO—signaled project cancellations like Sora and Prism to prioritize revenue-generating enterprise tools such as GPT-Rosalind, while shareholders mull Altman's replacement over side-project influences. Despite a fresh $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, regulatory scrutiny and leadership instability temper optimism for trillion-dollar cap outcomes, with upcoming catalysts including further hires and SEC preparations.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,581,711
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року» з 65%, далі «1,25–1,5 трлн» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» згенерував $1.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» — «Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року» з 65%. Наступний — «1,25–1,5 трлн» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.