OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion IPO valuation, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for its eventual closing market cap. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March 2026 on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, though GAAP losses are projected near $62 billion for 2026. Recent volatility in comparable AI-related listings, including SpaceX’s post-IPO swings, has reinforced internal signals favoring a potential 2027 debut over a 2026 offering at a lower multiple. With Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the process, market-implied odds will hinge on sustained revenue growth, infrastructure spending commitments, and broader tech-sector sentiment around trillion-dollar AI valuations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,529,250 Обс.
$1,529,250 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
$800 млрд
93%
$1 трлн
87%
$1,2 трлн
85%
$1,4 трлн
77%
$1,6 трлн
65%
$1,529,250 Обс.
$1,529,250 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
$800 млрд
$110,637 Обс.
93%
$1 трлн
$1,048,540 Обс.
87%
$1,2 трлн
$249,448 Обс.
85%
$1,4 трлн
$68,861 Обс.
77%
$1,6 трлн
$51,764 Обс.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion IPO valuation, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for its eventual closing market cap. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March 2026 on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, though GAAP losses are projected near $62 billion for 2026. Recent volatility in comparable AI-related listings, including SpaceX’s post-IPO swings, has reinforced internal signals favoring a potential 2027 debut over a 2026 offering at a lower multiple. With Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the process, market-implied odds will hinge on sustained revenue growth, infrastructure spending commitments, and broader tech-sector sentiment around trillion-dollar AI valuations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,529,250Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion IPO valuation, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for its eventual closing market cap. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March 2026 on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, though GAAP losses are projected near $62 billion for 2026. Recent volatility in comparable AI-related listings, including SpaceX’s post-IPO swings, has reinforced internal signals favoring a potential 2027 debut over a 2026 offering at a lower multiple. With Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the process, market-implied odds will hinge on sustained revenue growth, infrastructure spending commitments, and broader tech-sector sentiment around trillion-dollar AI valuations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Обсяг
$1,529,250Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion IPO valuation, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for its eventual closing market cap. The company’s most recent private round priced it at $852 billion in March 2026 on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, though GAAP losses are projected near $62 billion for 2026. Recent volatility in comparable AI-related listings, including SpaceX’s post-IPO swings, has reinforced internal signals favoring a potential 2027 debut over a 2026 offering at a lower multiple. With Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the process, market-implied odds will hinge on sustained revenue growth, infrastructure spending commitments, and broader tech-sector sentiment around trillion-dollar AI valuations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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