Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, supporting the 90.5% market-implied probability for No. With the federal funds rate target steady at 3.50-3.75% and the June 2026 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy unchanged, incoming releases show solid GDP growth near 2.2%, unemployment holding around 4.4%, and core CPI near 2.9% year-over-year amid higher energy prices. The Fed’s latest projections point to at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 at a scheduled meeting, with major forecasters now shifting any easing into 2027. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp labor-market deterioration could still trigger intermeeting action, though current conditions favor the baseline of gradual, data-dependent adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$105,564 Обс.
$105,564 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,564 Обс.
$105,564 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, supporting the 90.5% market-implied probability for No. With the federal funds rate target steady at 3.50-3.75% and the June 2026 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy unchanged, incoming releases show solid GDP growth near 2.2%, unemployment holding around 4.4%, and core CPI near 2.9% year-over-year amid higher energy prices. The Fed’s latest projections point to at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 at a scheduled meeting, with major forecasters now shifting any easing into 2027. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp labor-market deterioration could still trigger intermeeting action, though current conditions favor the baseline of gradual, data-dependent adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$105,564Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, supporting the 90.5% market-implied probability for No. With the federal funds rate target steady at 3.50-3.75% and the June 2026 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy unchanged, incoming releases show solid GDP growth near 2.2%, unemployment holding around 4.4%, and core CPI near 2.9% year-over-year amid higher energy prices. The Fed’s latest projections point to at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 at a scheduled meeting, with major forecasters now shifting any easing into 2027. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp labor-market deterioration could still trigger intermeeting action, though current conditions favor the baseline of gradual, data-dependent adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Обсяг
$105,564Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. economic data and elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, supporting the 90.5% market-implied probability for No. With the federal funds rate target steady at 3.50-3.75% and the June 2026 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy unchanged, incoming releases show solid GDP growth near 2.2%, unemployment holding around 4.4%, and core CPI near 2.9% year-over-year amid higher energy prices. The Fed’s latest projections point to at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 at a scheduled meeting, with major forecasters now shifting any easing into 2027. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp labor-market deterioration could still trigger intermeeting action, though current conditions favor the baseline of gradual, data-dependent adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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