Databricks’ closely matched market-implied odds across $300–450 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets, alongside a 21.5% probability of no listing by end-2027, reflect trader consensus on its rapid scaling amid valuation skepticism. The company closed an August 2026 $5 billion round at a $190 billion private valuation after ARR rose to $7 billion (over 80% YoY), supported by AI product momentum and net revenue retention above 140%. Yet PitchBook and Morningstar analyses highlight stretched multiples near 27 times run-rate and question sustainable margins as agent workloads inflate infrastructure costs, contrasting with Snowflake’s lower public valuation. CEO signals point to a 2027 debut to avoid a crowded calendar, leaving outcomes dependent on execution, public-market risk appetite, and comparable transaction pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$200B-$250B 96%
$250B-$300B 96%
$300B-$350B 96%
$350B-$400B 96%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
96%
$250B-$300B
96%
$300B-$350B
96%
$350B-$400B
96%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
$200B-$250B 96%
$250B-$300B 96%
$300B-$350B 96%
$350B-$400B 96%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$18 Обс.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 Обс.
-
$200B-$250B
$18 Обс.
96%
$250B-$300B
$18 Обс.
96%
$300B-$350B
$18 Обс.
96%
$350B-$400B
$18 Обс.
96%
$400B-$450B
$18 Обс.
-
$450B+
$18 Обс.
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$272 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ closely matched market-implied odds across $300–450 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets, alongside a 21.5% probability of no listing by end-2027, reflect trader consensus on its rapid scaling amid valuation skepticism. The company closed an August 2026 $5 billion round at a $190 billion private valuation after ARR rose to $7 billion (over 80% YoY), supported by AI product momentum and net revenue retention above 140%. Yet PitchBook and Morningstar analyses highlight stretched multiples near 27 times run-rate and question sustainable margins as agent workloads inflate infrastructure costs, contrasting with Snowflake’s lower public valuation. CEO signals point to a 2027 debut to avoid a crowded calendar, leaving outcomes dependent on execution, public-market risk appetite, and comparable transaction pricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$416Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ closely matched market-implied odds across $300–450 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets, alongside a 21.5% probability of no listing by end-2027, reflect trader consensus on its rapid scaling amid valuation skepticism. The company closed an August 2026 $5 billion round at a $190 billion private valuation after ARR rose to $7 billion (over 80% YoY), supported by AI product momentum and net revenue retention above 140%. Yet PitchBook and Morningstar analyses highlight stretched multiples near 27 times run-rate and question sustainable margins as agent workloads inflate infrastructure costs, contrasting with Snowflake’s lower public valuation. CEO signals point to a 2027 debut to avoid a crowded calendar, leaving outcomes dependent on execution, public-market risk appetite, and comparable transaction pricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$416Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ closely matched market-implied odds across $300–450 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets, alongside a 21.5% probability of no listing by end-2027, reflect trader consensus on its rapid scaling amid valuation skepticism. The company closed an August 2026 $5 billion round at a $190 billion private valuation after ARR rose to $7 billion (over 80% YoY), supported by AI product momentum and net revenue retention above 140%. Yet PitchBook and Morningstar analyses highlight stretched multiples near 27 times run-rate and question sustainable margins as agent workloads inflate infrastructure costs, contrasting with Snowflake’s lower public valuation. CEO signals point to a 2027 debut to avoid a crowded calendar, leaving outcomes dependent on execution, public-market risk appetite, and comparable transaction pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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