Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
October 19–October 25 22%
September 7–September 13 21%
September 28–October 4 21%
October 12–October 18 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
20%
August 31–September 6
17%
September 7–September 13
21%
September 14–September 20
15%
September 21–September 27
18%
September 28–October 4
21%
October 5–October 11
18%
October 12–October 18
21%
October 19–October 25
22%
October 26–November 1
17%
No release by November 1
20%
October 19–October 25 22%
September 7–September 13 21%
September 28–October 4 21%
October 12–October 18 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
$6 Обс.
20%
August 31–September 6
$6 Обс.
17%
September 7–September 13
$27 Обс.
21%
September 14–September 20
$6 Обс.
15%
September 21–September 27
$6 Обс.
18%
September 28–October 4
$6 Обс.
21%
October 5–October 11
$6 Обс.
18%
October 12–October 18
$6 Обс.
21%
October 19–October 25
$6 Обс.
22%
October 26–November 1
$6 Обс.
17%
No release by November 1
$61 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$142Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$142Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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