US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges tied to a 2020 Southern District of New York indictment. He has pleaded not guilty and remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date, with no bail granted. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent opposition talks, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Upcoming court hearings and any shifts in US-Venezuela negotiations or trial motions could influence prospects for release or extradition considerations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,687,895 Обс.
Jan 30, 2026
31 грудня
7%
$2,687,895 Обс.
31 грудня
$292,446 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges tied to a 2020 Southern District of New York indictment. He has pleaded not guilty and remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date, with no bail granted. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent opposition talks, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Upcoming court hearings and any shifts in US-Venezuela negotiations or trial motions could influence prospects for release or extradition considerations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,687,895Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges tied to a 2020 Southern District of New York indictment. He has pleaded not guilty and remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date, with no bail granted. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent opposition talks, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Upcoming court hearings and any shifts in US-Venezuela negotiations or trial motions could influence prospects for release or extradition considerations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,687,895Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas, transferring them to federal custody in New York on narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking charges tied to a 2020 Southern District of New York indictment. He has pleaded not guilty and remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date, with no bail granted. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent opposition talks, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Upcoming court hearings and any shifts in US-Venezuela negotiations or trial motions could influence prospects for release or extradition considerations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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