Trader consensus in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary for U.S. House favors Nikki Gronli at 54% implied probability, driven by her fundraising dominance—$183,000 raised through the latest reports versus zero for Scott Schlagel—and explicit backing from the South Dakota Democratic Party last week urging support for her candidacy. Gronli's experience as a former USDA rural development director bolsters her appeal in the agriculture-dependent state, positioning her as the frontrunner in the first contested primary in over a decade following Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal. With the June 2 primary nearing and early voting underway this week, Schlagel's local profile as a Dell Rapids correctional officer sustains his 36% share amid low visibility and resources.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSD-AL Democratic Primary Winner
SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner
Scott Schlagel 35%
Billy Mawhiney 2.5%
Nikki Gronli 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Scott Schlagel
35%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Nikki Gronli
54%
Scott Schlagel 35%
Billy Mawhiney 2.5%
Nikki Gronli 0
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Scott Schlagel
$4,311 Обс.
35%
Billy Mawhiney
$4,247 Обс.
2%
Nikki Gronli
$696 Обс.
54%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary for U.S. House favors Nikki Gronli at 54% implied probability, driven by her fundraising dominance—$183,000 raised through the latest reports versus zero for Scott Schlagel—and explicit backing from the South Dakota Democratic Party last week urging support for her candidacy. Gronli's experience as a former USDA rural development director bolsters her appeal in the agriculture-dependent state, positioning her as the frontrunner in the first contested primary in over a decade following Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal. With the June 2 primary nearing and early voting underway this week, Schlagel's local profile as a Dell Rapids correctional officer sustains his 36% share amid low visibility and resources.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,254Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary for U.S. House favors Nikki Gronli at 54% implied probability, driven by her fundraising dominance—$183,000 raised through the latest reports versus zero for Scott Schlagel—and explicit backing from the South Dakota Democratic Party last week urging support for her candidacy. Gronli's experience as a former USDA rural development director bolsters her appeal in the agriculture-dependent state, positioning her as the frontrunner in the first contested primary in over a decade following Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal. With the June 2 primary nearing and early voting underway this week, Schlagel's local profile as a Dell Rapids correctional officer sustains his 36% share amid low visibility and resources.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$9,254Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary for U.S. House favors Nikki Gronli at 54% implied probability, driven by her fundraising dominance—$183,000 raised through the latest reports versus zero for Scott Schlagel—and explicit backing from the South Dakota Democratic Party last week urging support for her candidacy. Gronli's experience as a former USDA rural development director bolsters her appeal in the agriculture-dependent state, positioning her as the frontrunner in the first contested primary in over a decade following Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal. With the June 2 primary nearing and early voting underway this week, Schlagel's local profile as a Dell Rapids correctional officer sustains his 36% share amid low visibility and resources.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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