Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a $70 million third weekend, the second-highest ever recorded, after a record $360 million domestic opening and a steep but expected 51% drop. Daily tracking showed Friday at $19 million, Saturday at $29.2 million, and Sunday at $21.7 million across 4,539 theaters, landing squarely in the 70-72 million range that now commands over 75% implied probability. Massive fan interest, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition sustained holds better than most forecasts, while pre-weekend estimates had centered between $57 million and $72 million. With the domestic cume already at $785.8 million, traders are pricing limited further upside or downside for this frame given the film’s established trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 81.0%
72m+ 5.1%
68-70m 3.0%
66-68m <1%
$74,345 Обс.
$74,345 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
<1%
66-68m
1%
68-70m
3%
70-72m
82%
72m+
16%
70-72m 81.0%
72m+ 5.1%
68-70m 3.0%
66-68m <1%
$74,345 Обс.
$74,345 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$9,268 Обс.
<1%
66-68m
$7,532 Обс.
1%
68-70m
$20,419 Обс.
3%
70-72m
$8,630 Обс.
82%
72m+
$28,496 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a $70 million third weekend, the second-highest ever recorded, after a record $360 million domestic opening and a steep but expected 51% drop. Daily tracking showed Friday at $19 million, Saturday at $29.2 million, and Sunday at $21.7 million across 4,539 theaters, landing squarely in the 70-72 million range that now commands over 75% implied probability. Massive fan interest, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition sustained holds better than most forecasts, while pre-weekend estimates had centered between $57 million and $72 million. With the domestic cume already at $785.8 million, traders are pricing limited further upside or downside for this frame given the film’s established trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$74,345Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a $70 million third weekend, the second-highest ever recorded, after a record $360 million domestic opening and a steep but expected 51% drop. Daily tracking showed Friday at $19 million, Saturday at $29.2 million, and Sunday at $21.7 million across 4,539 theaters, landing squarely in the 70-72 million range that now commands over 75% implied probability. Massive fan interest, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition sustained holds better than most forecasts, while pre-weekend estimates had centered between $57 million and $72 million. With the domestic cume already at $785.8 million, traders are pricing limited further upside or downside for this frame given the film’s established trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$74,345Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a $70 million third weekend, the second-highest ever recorded, after a record $360 million domestic opening and a steep but expected 51% drop. Daily tracking showed Friday at $19 million, Saturday at $29.2 million, and Sunday at $21.7 million across 4,539 theaters, landing squarely in the 70-72 million range that now commands over 75% implied probability. Massive fan interest, strong word-of-mouth, and minimal competition sustained holds better than most forecasts, while pre-weekend estimates had centered between $57 million and $72 million. With the domestic cume already at $785.8 million, traders are pricing limited further upside or downside for this frame given the film’s established trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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