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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

>$8,000 25%

$7,000-$7,500 23%

$7,500-$8,000 21%

$6,500-$7,000 16%

Polymarket

$28,721 Обс.

>$8,000 25%

$7,000-$7,500 23%

$7,500-$8,000 21%

$6,500-$7,000 16%

Polymarket

$28,721 Обс.

<$6,000

$16,283 Обс.

12%

$6,000-$6,500

$1,760 Обс.

7%

$6,500-$7,000

$2,987 Обс.

16%

$7,000-$7,500

$1,570 Обс.

23%

$7,500-$8,000

$2,977 Обс.

21%

>$8,000

$3,145 Обс.

25%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 centers on AI-driven earnings growth projected at 12-15% for the year, supported by recent analyst upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its target to 8,000. With the index trading near 7,500 in early June, market-implied odds show a tight contest among the 7,000-7,500, 7,500-8,000, and above-8,000 buckets, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains will sustain elevated valuations or face headwinds from persistent inflation, potential tariff effects, and the Federal Reserve’s path toward neutral policy. Key upcoming catalysts include further earnings reports and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and risk appetite.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$28,721
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 centers on AI-driven earnings growth projected at 12-15% for the year, supported by recent analyst upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its target to 8,000. With the index trading near 7,500 in early June, market-implied odds show a tight contest among the 7,000-7,500, 7,500-8,000, and above-8,000 buckets, reflecting uncertainty over whether productivity gains will sustain elevated valuations or face headwinds from persistent inflation, potential tariff effects, and the Federal Reserve’s path toward neutral policy. Key upcoming catalysts include further earnings reports and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and risk appetite.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$28,721
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «>$8,000» з 25%, далі «$7,000-$7,500» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» згенерував $28.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — «>$8,000» з 25%. Наступний — «$7,000-$7,500» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.