Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% chance of Keir Starmer's net approval rating declining further in April, reflecting sustained negative polling trends amid economic stagnation and policy backlash. YouGov's March data showed Starmer's net favourability at -48, largely unchanged from prior lows, while Opinium noted his lowest approval yet in February, with Labour slumping to 17% in April YouGov voting intention behind Reform UK's 24%. Key drivers include backlash over winter fuel cuts, high net migration, anaemic GDP growth downgraded by the IMF, and scandals eroding trust even among 2024 Labour voters. Projections of 1,000–2,000 council seat losses in May 7 local elections amplify pessimism, with no major rebound catalysts amid ongoing u-turns and communication critiques.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоStarmer approval Up or Down in April?
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% chance of Keir Starmer's net approval rating declining further in April, reflecting sustained negative polling trends amid economic stagnation and policy backlash. YouGov's March data showed Starmer's net favourability at -48, largely unchanged from prior lows, while Opinium noted his lowest approval yet in February, with Labour slumping to 17% in April YouGov voting intention behind Reform UK's 24%. Key drivers include backlash over winter fuel cuts, high net migration, anaemic GDP growth downgraded by the IMF, and scandals eroding trust even among 2024 Labour voters. Projections of 1,000–2,000 council seat losses in May 7 local elections amplify pessimism, with no major rebound catalysts amid ongoing u-turns and communication critiques.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання