**Persistent low inflation and stable growth conditions anchor trader expectations for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at 0% on September 24.** August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year—above July’s 0.4% but still comfortably inside the 0–2% target—while core measures remained subdued near 0.4%. Recent SNB communications, including remarks from Chairman Martin Schlegel, emphasize that medium-term inflation pressures have changed little, with the franc’s stability offsetting energy-price effects from geopolitical tensions. Economists surveyed in late August uniformly projected no change through year-end, and the SNB’s June conditional forecast of 0.6% inflation for 2026–2027 assumes unchanged policy. With the next assessment just days away and no major data surprises expected to alter the outlook, market-implied odds of 89.5% for no change reflect the consensus that the current neutral-to-accommodative stance remains appropriate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
No Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent low inflation and stable growth conditions anchor trader expectations for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at 0% on September 24.** August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year—above July’s 0.4% but still comfortably inside the 0–2% target—while core measures remained subdued near 0.4%. Recent SNB communications, including remarks from Chairman Martin Schlegel, emphasize that medium-term inflation pressures have changed little, with the franc’s stability offsetting energy-price effects from geopolitical tensions. Economists surveyed in late August uniformly projected no change through year-end, and the SNB’s June conditional forecast of 0.6% inflation for 2026–2027 assumes unchanged policy. With the next assessment just days away and no major data surprises expected to alter the outlook, market-implied odds of 89.5% for no change reflect the consensus that the current neutral-to-accommodative stance remains appropriate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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