The upcoming UK Budget on October 28, 2026, is shaping trader sentiment amid OBR forecasts showing GDP growth revised down to 1.4% for 2026 alongside inflation at 2.5% and public sector net borrowing at 4.5% of GDP. Fiscal consolidation of roughly £37 billion by FY2030/31, including £26 billion in tax rises such as extended personal allowance freezes and higher dividend rates, reflects efforts to meet fiscal rules without additional borrowing while funding defence increases to £80 billion annually. Recent data on elevated gilt yields and slowing growth have heightened focus on revenue measures like council tax surcharges and ISA allowance reductions, with traders monitoring OBR updates and any pre-Budget representations for shifts in implied probabilities around specific tax and spending outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Oct 28, 2026
CGT increase
70%
Fuel duty increase
42%
Land value tax
23%
Wealth tax
19%
$76 Обс.
CGT increase
$10 Обс.
70%
Fuel duty increase
$2 Обс.
42%
Land value tax
$30 Обс.
23%
Wealth tax
$35 Обс.
19%
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Budget on October 28, 2026, is shaping trader sentiment amid OBR forecasts showing GDP growth revised down to 1.4% for 2026 alongside inflation at 2.5% and public sector net borrowing at 4.5% of GDP. Fiscal consolidation of roughly £37 billion by FY2030/31, including £26 billion in tax rises such as extended personal allowance freezes and higher dividend rates, reflects efforts to meet fiscal rules without additional borrowing while funding defence increases to £80 billion annually. Recent data on elevated gilt yields and slowing growth have heightened focus on revenue measures like council tax surcharges and ISA allowance reductions, with traders monitoring OBR updates and any pre-Budget representations for shifts in implied probabilities around specific tax and spending outcomes.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Budget on October 28, 2026, is shaping trader sentiment amid OBR forecasts showing GDP growth revised down to 1.4% for 2026 alongside inflation at 2.5% and public sector net borrowing at 4.5% of GDP. Fiscal consolidation of roughly £37 billion by FY2030/31, including £26 billion in tax rises such as extended personal allowance freezes and higher dividend rates, reflects efforts to meet fiscal rules without additional borrowing while funding defence increases to £80 billion annually. Recent data on elevated gilt yields and slowing growth have heightened focus on revenue measures like council tax surcharges and ISA allowance reductions, with traders monitoring OBR updates and any pre-Budget representations for shifts in implied probabilities around specific tax and spending outcomes.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The upcoming UK Budget on October 28, 2026, is shaping trader sentiment amid OBR forecasts showing GDP growth revised down to 1.4% for 2026 alongside inflation at 2.5% and public sector net borrowing at 4.5% of GDP. Fiscal consolidation of roughly £37 billion by FY2030/31, including £26 billion in tax rises such as extended personal allowance freezes and higher dividend rates, reflects efforts to meet fiscal rules without additional borrowing while funding defence increases to £80 billion annually. Recent data on elevated gilt yields and slowing growth have heightened focus on revenue measures like council tax surcharges and ISA allowance reductions, with traders monitoring OBR updates and any pre-Budget representations for shifts in implied probabilities around specific tax and spending outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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