Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cadence, with launches typically occurring in September, drives the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 debut in 2026. The company follows a predictable engineering and supply-chain timeline that has held across multiple generations, positioning the next model to succeed the expected iPhone 17 cycle in 2025. Traders assign high confidence because historical precedent and ongoing component development show no signs of disruption. Remaining uncertainty centers on possible supply-chain delays from advanced chip production, technical hurdles with new hardware features, or regulatory actions affecting manufacturing, though such events have rarely altered Apple's overall schedule.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$162,483 Обс.
$162,483 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$162,483 Обс.
$162,483 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cadence, with launches typically occurring in September, drives the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 debut in 2026. The company follows a predictable engineering and supply-chain timeline that has held across multiple generations, positioning the next model to succeed the expected iPhone 17 cycle in 2025. Traders assign high confidence because historical precedent and ongoing component development show no signs of disruption. Remaining uncertainty centers on possible supply-chain delays from advanced chip production, technical hurdles with new hardware features, or regulatory actions affecting manufacturing, though such events have rarely altered Apple's overall schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$162,483Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cadence, with launches typically occurring in September, drives the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 debut in 2026. The company follows a predictable engineering and supply-chain timeline that has held across multiple generations, positioning the next model to succeed the expected iPhone 17 cycle in 2025. Traders assign high confidence because historical precedent and ongoing component development show no signs of disruption. Remaining uncertainty centers on possible supply-chain delays from advanced chip production, technical hurdles with new hardware features, or regulatory actions affecting manufacturing, though such events have rarely altered Apple's overall schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$162,483Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cadence, with launches typically occurring in September, drives the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 debut in 2026. The company follows a predictable engineering and supply-chain timeline that has held across multiple generations, positioning the next model to succeed the expected iPhone 17 cycle in 2025. Traders assign high confidence because historical precedent and ongoing component development show no signs of disruption. Remaining uncertainty centers on possible supply-chain delays from advanced chip production, technical hurdles with new hardware features, or regulatory actions affecting manufacturing, though such events have rarely altered Apple's overall schedule.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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