Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Claude go down on __ days in May?
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
9-11 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$59,419 Обс.
$59,419 Обс.
May 31, 2026
0-2
No
3-5
No
6-8
No
9-11
Yes
12+
No
9-11 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$59,419 Обс.
$59,419 Обс.
May 31, 2026
0-2
$22,898 Обс.
No
3-5
$4,754 Обс.
No
6-8
$5,188 Обс.
No
9-11
$7,071 Обс.
Yes
12+
$19,508 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Ринок відкрито: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$59,419Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Обсяг
$59,419Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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