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Фінанси·Олія

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?
Фінанси·Олія

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Ended: May 31

Jul 31

Aug 31

Ended: May 31

Jul 31

Aug 31

$206,438 Обс.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$206,438 Обс.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$31,355 Обс.

No

↑ $4.70

$17,198 Обс.

No

↑ $4.60

$23,746 Обс.

No

↑ $4.50

$18,419 Обс.

Yes

↑ $4.45

$31,405 Обс.

Yes

↑ $4.40

$24,831 Обс.

Yes

↑ $4.35

$6,423 Обс.

Yes

↓ $4.25

$4,582 Обс.

No

↓ $4.20

$3,909 Обс.

No

↓ $4.10

$1,679 Обс.

No

↓ $4.00

$1,759 Обс.

No

↓ $3.75

$3,889 Обс.

No

↓ $3.50

$37,243 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have served as the primary catalyst elevating U.S. retail gasoline prices throughout May 2026, with national averages climbing above $4.50 per gallon amid tight global crude inventories and strong seasonal demand ahead of the summer driving period. Persistent supply concerns, including lower distillate stocks and reduced refinery throughput, have reinforced upward pressure on pump prices despite some moderation in crude benchmarks. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook highlighted resilient production alongside inventory builds that could temper volatility, while traders monitor weekly storage data and any de-escalation signals for potential relief. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and geopolitical dynamics rather than certainties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$206,438
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have served as the primary catalyst elevating U.S. retail gasoline prices throughout May 2026, with national averages climbing above $4.50 per gallon amid tight global crude inventories and strong seasonal demand ahead of the summer driving period. Persistent supply concerns, including lower distillate stocks and reduced refinery throughput, have reinforced upward pressure on pump prices despite some moderation in crude benchmarks. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook highlighted resilient production alongside inventory builds that could temper volatility, while traders monitor weekly storage data and any de-escalation signals for potential relief. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and geopolitical dynamics rather than certainties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$206,438
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

icon for Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?

Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?

3%
icon for Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?

Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?

80%
icon for Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

25%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will gas hit __ by end of May?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «↑ $4.50» з 100%, далі «↑ $4.45» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will gas hit __ by end of May?» згенерував $206.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will gas hit __ by end of May?», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will gas hit __ by end of May?» — «↑ $4.50» з 100%. Наступний — «↑ $4.45» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will gas hit __ by end of May?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.