Traders assign a near-certain 98% implied probability to “No” because centuries of unfulfilled apocalyptic forecasts have established a clear historical pattern: end-times claims rarely materialize on short timelines, and no verifiable public signs, announcements, or cultural shifts have emerged to challenge that precedent ahead of 2027. With the resolution window now under a year, the market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that observable fulfillment remains extraordinarily unlikely. Realistic upset scenarios would require an unprecedented, globally recognized event widely interpreted as the Second Coming—something no major religious institution or credible report currently anticipates—yet the inherent unpredictability of faith-based narratives leaves a narrow window for dramatic reversals if such a development suddenly gains widespread acceptance.