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icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

53% шанс
Polymarket

$12,038 Обс.

53% шанс
Polymarket

$12,038 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely contested 52.5% implied probability for conviction in the Philippine Senate reflects the two-thirds threshold of 16 out of 24 senator-judges required under the Constitution, balanced against a bloc of Duterte-aligned members including allies such as Imee Marcos, Robin Padilla, and others with established family or political ties. The House transmitted articles of impeachment in May 2026 alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, and threats against President Marcos, prompting the Senate trial's opening on July 6 with ongoing witness presentations on financial records and related charges as of early September. Recent procedural rulings by the Supreme Court have allowed proceedings to advance without suspension, while absences or detentions among some senators introduce variables in vote arithmetic. Developments such as shifts in senator alignments, additional evidence on specific articles, or further absences could alter the balance before any final vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$12,038
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely contested 52.5% implied probability for conviction in the Philippine Senate reflects the two-thirds threshold of 16 out of 24 senator-judges required under the Constitution, balanced against a bloc of Duterte-aligned members including allies such as Imee Marcos, Robin Padilla, and others with established family or political ties. The House transmitted articles of impeachment in May 2026 alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, and threats against President Marcos, prompting the Senate trial's opening on July 6 with ongoing witness presentations on financial records and related charges as of early September. Recent procedural rulings by the Supreme Court have allowed proceedings to advance without suspension, while absences or detentions among some senators introduce variables in vote arithmetic. Developments such as shifts in senator alignments, additional evidence on specific articles, or further absences could alter the balance before any final vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$12,038
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 53% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 53¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 53%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?» згенерував $12K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?» — 53% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 53% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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