The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because conviction requires 16 affirmative votes from all 24 senator-judges on at least one article. Senate alignments include a Duterte-aligned bloc that complicates reaching the two-thirds threshold, while the Marcos-aligned House prosecution has presented evidence on alleged confidential-fund misuse, unexplained wealth, DepEd procurement issues, and threats against the president. Ongoing hearings through September 2026 continue to feature documentary records, tax disclosures authorized by President Marcos, and witness testimony, with the defense emphasizing procedural challenges and political motivation. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether additional evidence or cross-aisle shifts will secure the required majority before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, versus acquittal if alliances hold or the prosecution falls short on clear and convincing proof. Key tipping factors include compelling new testimony on specific articles, Senate procedural rulings, or changes in senator participation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
52% шанс
$12,038 Обс.
$12,038 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
52% шанс
$12,038 Обс.
$12,038 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because conviction requires 16 affirmative votes from all 24 senator-judges on at least one article. Senate alignments include a Duterte-aligned bloc that complicates reaching the two-thirds threshold, while the Marcos-aligned House prosecution has presented evidence on alleged confidential-fund misuse, unexplained wealth, DepEd procurement issues, and threats against the president. Ongoing hearings through September 2026 continue to feature documentary records, tax disclosures authorized by President Marcos, and witness testimony, with the defense emphasizing procedural challenges and political motivation. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether additional evidence or cross-aisle shifts will secure the required majority before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, versus acquittal if alliances hold or the prosecution falls short on clear and convincing proof. Key tipping factors include compelling new testimony on specific articles, Senate procedural rulings, or changes in senator participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,038Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because conviction requires 16 affirmative votes from all 24 senator-judges on at least one article. Senate alignments include a Duterte-aligned bloc that complicates reaching the two-thirds threshold, while the Marcos-aligned House prosecution has presented evidence on alleged confidential-fund misuse, unexplained wealth, DepEd procurement issues, and threats against the president. Ongoing hearings through September 2026 continue to feature documentary records, tax disclosures authorized by President Marcos, and witness testimony, with the defense emphasizing procedural challenges and political motivation. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether additional evidence or cross-aisle shifts will secure the required majority before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, versus acquittal if alliances hold or the prosecution falls short on clear and convincing proof. Key tipping factors include compelling new testimony on specific articles, Senate procedural rulings, or changes in senator participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$12,038Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because conviction requires 16 affirmative votes from all 24 senator-judges on at least one article. Senate alignments include a Duterte-aligned bloc that complicates reaching the two-thirds threshold, while the Marcos-aligned House prosecution has presented evidence on alleged confidential-fund misuse, unexplained wealth, DepEd procurement issues, and threats against the president. Ongoing hearings through September 2026 continue to feature documentary records, tax disclosures authorized by President Marcos, and witness testimony, with the defense emphasizing procedural challenges and political motivation. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether additional evidence or cross-aisle shifts will secure the required majority before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, versus acquittal if alliances hold or the prosecution falls short on clear and convincing proof. Key tipping factors include compelling new testimony on specific articles, Senate procedural rulings, or changes in senator participation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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