France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFrance 100.0%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
Iraq <1%
$1,519,211 Обс.
$1,519,211 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
Senegal
No
Norway
No
France
Yes
Iraq
No
France 100.0%
Senegal <1%
Norway <1%
Iraq <1%
$1,519,211 Обс.
$1,519,211 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
Senegal
$196,415 Обс.
No
Norway
$360,065 Обс.
No
France
$820,706 Обс.
Yes
Iraq
$142,026 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,519,211Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,519,211Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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