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AS прогнози та шанси

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Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$2M Обс.

$72.2K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$303K Обс.

$54.5K today

$93.6K Liq.

20

Ends in about 1 month

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$3M Обс.

$111K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Обс.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Обс.

$467K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

55%

No Announcement by June 30

$827K Обс.

$180K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

24%

$32.8K Обс.

$1.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 10 days

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Обс.

$420K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

64%

December 31

$2M Обс.

$97.1K Liq.

68

Ends in about 1 month

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

11%

June 30, 2026

$9.9K Обс.

$38.5K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

98%

May 15–22

$281K Обс.

$94.0K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

17%

$206K Обс.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

53%

$203K Обс.

$30.0K Liq.

52

Ends in about 1 month

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

95%

$51.2K Обс.

$2.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

5%

$99.9K Обс.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

19%

$254K Обс.

$16.6K Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

16%

$2M Обс.

$77.8K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

18%

May 31

$439K Обс.

$18.5K Liq.

177

Ends in about 1 month

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

8%

$119K Обс.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

3%

$274K Обс.

$47.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як AS.

Polymarket наразі має 3183 активних ринків для AS, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Trump out as President by May 31?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $29.9M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Trump out as President by June 30?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «Trump out as President before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс No у 91%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.