Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his widening polling lead in the open seat race following Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid. A Peak Insights survey from April 11-13 showed Moore at 34% among likely Republican voters, doubling Attorney General Steve Marshall's 16% and outsider Jared Hudson's 12%, with Moore dominating a hypothetical runoff 47%-27%. His early Trump endorsement, additional backing from Senate leaders like John Thune, competitive fundraising, and House incumbency advantage have consolidated support, though high undecideds and a potential runoff leave room for shifts from late ads or endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Barry Moore 90%
Jared Hudson 5.8%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$58,015 KL.
$58,015 KL.
Barry Moore
90%
Jared Hudson
6%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 90%
Jared Hudson 5.8%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$58,015 KL.
$58,015 KL.
Barry Moore
90%
Jared Hudson
6%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his widening polling lead in the open seat race following Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid. A Peak Insights survey from April 11-13 showed Moore at 34% among likely Republican voters, doubling Attorney General Steve Marshall's 16% and outsider Jared Hudson's 12%, with Moore dominating a hypothetical runoff 47%-27%. His early Trump endorsement, additional backing from Senate leaders like John Thune, competitive fundraising, and House incumbency advantage have consolidated support, though high undecideds and a potential runoff leave room for shifts from late ads or endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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