António Guterres is serving the final months of his second term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on schedule on December 31, 2026. The formal selection process for his successor began in late 2025 via a joint letter from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents, with multiple candidates already in contention and no procedural barriers to a standard transition. Guterres has continued routine diplomatic and public duties through mid-2026, including statements on global priorities, without reported internal UN challenges, member-state campaigns for early removal, or personal announcements signaling resignation. Trader consensus at 75.5% for "No" reflects the absence of acute political or institutional pressures that historically prompt premature exits by UN leaders, combined with established term-limit norms and the ongoing, orderly successor selection.