António Guterres faces no immediate institutional or diplomatic pressure that would force an early departure from his role as UN Secretary-General before the end of 2026. His second five-year term concludes on December 31, 2026, and recent months have shown no formal announcements from member states, the Security Council, or the General Assembly regarding resignation, removal proceedings, or accelerated succession planning. Trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of major escalations in ongoing global conflicts or internal UN disputes that historically prompted leadership changes. Scheduled events through year-end, including General Assembly sessions and routine diplomatic engagements, offer limited catalysts for abrupt shifts. Structural factors such as the standard two-term precedent and lack of coordinated opposition from permanent Security Council members further support expectations that he will complete the current mandate without interruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
António Guterres out by December 31?
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres faces no immediate institutional or diplomatic pressure that would force an early departure from his role as UN Secretary-General before the end of 2026. His second five-year term concludes on December 31, 2026, and recent months have shown no formal announcements from member states, the Security Council, or the General Assembly regarding resignation, removal proceedings, or accelerated succession planning. Trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of major escalations in ongoing global conflicts or internal UN disputes that historically prompted leadership changes. Scheduled events through year-end, including General Assembly sessions and routine diplomatic engagements, offer limited catalysts for abrupt shifts. Structural factors such as the standard two-term precedent and lack of coordinated opposition from permanent Security Council members further support expectations that he will complete the current mandate without interruption.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres faces no immediate institutional or diplomatic pressure that would force an early departure from his role as UN Secretary-General before the end of 2026. His second five-year term concludes on December 31, 2026, and recent months have shown no formal announcements from member states, the Security Council, or the General Assembly regarding resignation, removal proceedings, or accelerated succession planning. Trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of major escalations in ongoing global conflicts or internal UN disputes that historically prompted leadership changes. Scheduled events through year-end, including General Assembly sessions and routine diplomatic engagements, offer limited catalysts for abrupt shifts. Structural factors such as the standard two-term precedent and lack of coordinated opposition from permanent Security Council members further support expectations that he will complete the current mandate without interruption.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,213Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres faces no immediate institutional or diplomatic pressure that would force an early departure from his role as UN Secretary-General before the end of 2026. His second five-year term concludes on December 31, 2026, and recent months have shown no formal announcements from member states, the Security Council, or the General Assembly regarding resignation, removal proceedings, or accelerated succession planning. Trader consensus reflected in the 76.5% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of major escalations in ongoing global conflicts or internal UN disputes that historically prompted leadership changes. Scheduled events through year-end, including General Assembly sessions and routine diplomatic engagements, offer limited catalysts for abrupt shifts. Structural factors such as the standard two-term precedent and lack of coordinated opposition from permanent Security Council members further support expectations that he will complete the current mandate without interruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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