Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability for no major AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's strong operational resilience and the contained nature of recent regional incidents. Ongoing issues in Middle East regions—ME-SOUTH-1 (Bahrain) and ME-CENTRAL-1 (UAE)—stem from March drone strikes damaging specific availability zones, affecting services like EC2, S3, and Lambda locally; AWS has mitigated impacts via traffic shifting and workload migrations to unaffected regions, with no global fallout. Absent new catalysts like escalated geopolitical tensions or systemic failures in the next 12 days, and following quick resolutions of prior minor events, traders anticipate continued stability across core infrastructure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Apr 30, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability for no major AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's strong operational resilience and the contained nature of recent regional incidents. Ongoing issues in Middle East regions—ME-SOUTH-1 (Bahrain) and ME-CENTRAL-1 (UAE)—stem from March drone strikes damaging specific availability zones, affecting services like EC2, S3, and Lambda locally; AWS has mitigated impacts via traffic shifting and workload migrations to unaffected regions, with no global fallout. Absent new catalysts like escalated geopolitical tensions or systemic failures in the next 12 days, and following quick resolutions of prior minor events, traders anticipate continued stability across core infrastructure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,912Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability for no major AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's strong operational resilience and the contained nature of recent regional incidents. Ongoing issues in Middle East regions—ME-SOUTH-1 (Bahrain) and ME-CENTRAL-1 (UAE)—stem from March drone strikes damaging specific availability zones, affecting services like EC2, S3, and Lambda locally; AWS has mitigated impacts via traffic shifting and workload migrations to unaffected regions, with no global fallout. Absent new catalysts like escalated geopolitical tensions or systemic failures in the next 12 days, and following quick resolutions of prior minor events, traders anticipate continued stability across core infrastructure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Khối lượng
$5,912Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability for no major AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's strong operational resilience and the contained nature of recent regional incidents. Ongoing issues in Middle East regions—ME-SOUTH-1 (Bahrain) and ME-CENTRAL-1 (UAE)—stem from March drone strikes damaging specific availability zones, affecting services like EC2, S3, and Lambda locally; AWS has mitigated impacts via traffic shifting and workload migrations to unaffected regions, with no global fallout. Absent new catalysts like escalated geopolitical tensions or systemic failures in the next 12 days, and following quick resolutions of prior minor events, traders anticipate continued stability across core infrastructure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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