Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke and the CDU trading narrow leads in the low 20s, with the AfD, Greens, and SPD clustered in the mid-teens, leaving second place highly uncertain. This four-way contest for the top spots stems from shifting voter priorities on housing costs, security, and migration, alongside the current CDU-SPD coalition's declining support. Late-campaign events or turnout variations among urban districts could still reorder the middle pack. Market pricing reflects this volatility, with traders assigning CDU the highest implied probability for second while viewing the outcome as sensitive to final-week developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCDU 39%
Linke 29%
AfD 25%
Grüne 9%
$31,121 KL.
$31,121 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
39%
Linke
29%
AfD
25%
Grüne
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 39%
Linke 29%
AfD 25%
Grüne 9%
$31,121 KL.
$31,121 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$5,114 KL.
39%
Linke
$7,423 KL.
29%
AfD
$7,242 KL.
25%
Grüne
$5,657 KL.
9%
SPD
$3,576 KL.
3%
FDP
$686 KL.
<1%
FW
$640 KL.
<1%
BSW
$783 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke and the CDU trading narrow leads in the low 20s, with the AfD, Greens, and SPD clustered in the mid-teens, leaving second place highly uncertain. This four-way contest for the top spots stems from shifting voter priorities on housing costs, security, and migration, alongside the current CDU-SPD coalition's declining support. Late-campaign events or turnout variations among urban districts could still reorder the middle pack. Market pricing reflects this volatility, with traders assigning CDU the highest implied probability for second while viewing the outcome as sensitive to final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,121Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke and the CDU trading narrow leads in the low 20s, with the AfD, Greens, and SPD clustered in the mid-teens, leaving second place highly uncertain. This four-way contest for the top spots stems from shifting voter priorities on housing costs, security, and migration, alongside the current CDU-SPD coalition's declining support. Late-campaign events or turnout variations among urban districts could still reorder the middle pack. Market pricing reflects this volatility, with traders assigning CDU the highest implied probability for second while viewing the outcome as sensitive to final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$31,121Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke and the CDU trading narrow leads in the low 20s, with the AfD, Greens, and SPD clustered in the mid-teens, leaving second place highly uncertain. This four-way contest for the top spots stems from shifting voter priorities on housing costs, security, and migration, alongside the current CDU-SPD coalition's declining support. Late-campaign events or turnout variations among urban districts could still reorder the middle pack. Market pricing reflects this volatility, with traders assigning CDU the highest implied probability for second while viewing the outcome as sensitive to final-week developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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